Probably not but definitely maybe!!!!! 😉 My primary concern if I were in your shoes (boots) as a relative beginner wouldn’t actually be fitness but rather the other member(s) of my climbing team and what the logistical plan is for the climb (route choice, route condition, camp placement, rope teams etc) . That will be far more likely to be what makes or breaks the climb and makes it safe or hazardous. Setting that relatively huge point aside then the question is whether you can do it physically which I think is more what you’re asking here. I don’t actually think living in Denver is a huge advantage here for the altitude but it is for the proximity of the terrain to train on. There have been plenty of folks who have successfully climbed Rainier who live in Florida and also a huge number of folks who live in Mountain environments at some altitude who’ve gotten their butt kicked. The best thing you can do between now and then I start getting out and some steeper terrain locally (Bear/Green in Boulder, Incline in CO Springs, Quandry, etc) and getting some very specific training in to see how your body responds. Once you get about 12 weeks out or so do you want to start really training in a way that’s as much like the climb as possible and that will certainly include a fair amount of weighted pack work in the hills. Once you start doing these specific workouts I think you’ll get a much better idea of whether climbing Rainier this season makes some sense or whether it might be best put off till summer 2023 and get another year of training in. Hope that helps and I am sure some others will weigh in here!
Today starts my first day of training under the Basic level.
I wanted to know from the experienced athletes/coaches/guides and gurus on this page – In your opinion, would Mt. Rainier be possible this summer (2022) for a beginner, like me without a guide group?
I would say I am about average for fitness level – I have never had formal training. I am new to ice climbing/winter hiking, with about two months under my belt (December 2021 – Feb 2022). I have been rock climbing for a few years, but all approaches have been relatively short in length, so I have not yet had to carry a heavy pack (with rope) more than one hour one way. I have only been exposed to elevation for about a 8 months (I just moved to Denver, Colorado from Florida in the summer of 2021), and have been on a handful of winter hikes in the Rockies, and Mt. Evans area.
Really appreciate your opinion and any information you have!
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